The Backup Goalie Start Nobody's Pricing Correctly

The goalie announcement came late, and the number hasn't fully caught up to it.

Colorado's backup goaltender carries a .914 save percentage this season against a starter mark of .924 — a real but modest gap, smaller than the market tends to price when a backup announcement drops.

Because the confirmation came less than two hours before puck drop, a chunk of the value hasn't been arbitraged out yet by the time most recreational bettors are placing tickets.

Late-breaking news creates value that closes fast. Speed is the whole strategy.

This is a short-lived window — by puck drop, expect the number to have moved closer to fair. If you're going to use it, use it early.